That's a good question and an area I should've elaborated a little more on in the post. I would say yes, but there is some nuance. The key is that gains made are consolidated under the control and oversight of the Turkish government. If HTS were to make their gains into a quasi-state within Syria, this would not increase stability. In the areas where the SNA is making gains and moving the Turkish border south, the opposite would be true. The key is oversight, jurisdiction, and sovereignty. An area that Turkey takes ownership of is less likely to become a safe haven used for launching attacks on the United States. Personally, I don't trust Erdogan and the Turkish government, but they do have incentives to not allow their territory to become a safe haven for attacks on their partners in the US or Europe.
Would Turkish territorial gains in Syria, won by their hardline jihadists, really increase regional stability in the eyes of the US?
That's a good question and an area I should've elaborated a little more on in the post. I would say yes, but there is some nuance. The key is that gains made are consolidated under the control and oversight of the Turkish government. If HTS were to make their gains into a quasi-state within Syria, this would not increase stability. In the areas where the SNA is making gains and moving the Turkish border south, the opposite would be true. The key is oversight, jurisdiction, and sovereignty. An area that Turkey takes ownership of is less likely to become a safe haven used for launching attacks on the United States. Personally, I don't trust Erdogan and the Turkish government, but they do have incentives to not allow their territory to become a safe haven for attacks on their partners in the US or Europe.